Inflation
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GBP/USD Analysis: Rally Extends Toward Sterling’s 1-Year High at 1.30
GBP/USD could pull back off 1-year highs at 1.3000 given the 17-year high in speculative long positioning, per the CFTC’s COT report.
A busy week awaits, despite US data taking a back seat: The Week Ahead
US data steps away from the limelight to make way for inflation reports from the UK, Canada, New Zealand, and Japan. And throw in an ECB meeting, Australian employment report and the CCP's Third Plenum for good measure.
US CPI Preview: Another Low-3% Reading Likely, Traders Looking to Buy S&P 500 Dips?
Traders and economists expect the US CPI report to fall to 3.1% y/y on a headline basis, with the “Core” (ex-food and -energy) reading expected to hold steady at 3.4% y/y.
US CPI Preview: Another Low-3% Reading Likely, Traders Looking to Buy S&P 500 Dips?
Traders and economists expect the US CPI report to fall to 3.1% y/y on a headline basis, with the “Core” (ex-food and -energy) reading expected to hold steady at 3.4% y/y.
EUR/USD in the crossfire of election polls, US inflation: The Week Ahead
Inflation reports are the main theme for next week, with figures set to be released from the US, Canada, Australia and Japan. EUR/USD traders might want to be on guard for headline risk surrounding French elections, as it is the last full week before votes are cast and that means polls could easily sway sentient for European markets.
GBP/USD forecast: Cable stands firm despite hopes of soft UK CPI
GBP/USD has rallied 3.5% since April's low despite favourable yield differentials with the US. Yet price action on the daily and H4 charts suggests a minor pullback may be due.
US CPI Preview: USD/JPY Vulnerable as Leading Indicator Points to a Decline in Inflation
USD/JPY could be vulnerable as cooling ISM Prices Paid and disinflationary base effects point to a potential decline in CPI inflation this month
US Core PCE Preview: USD/JPY Flirts with 155 Ahead of Key US Inflation Report
Diverging interest rate expectations between the Federal Reserve and the rest of the developed world have been THE biggest story of the year for FX traders (USD/JPY in particular), and Friday’s Core PCE report will be the next major test to determine if that trend will carry over into Q2
USD/JPY 155 in focus around US inflation, BOJ meeting: The Week Ahead
155 has become the latest 'glass ceiling' for the rapid rise of USD/JPY. And with a key US inflation report, BOJ meeting and potential for risk-off sentiment next week, this key level could be tested and prompt a response from Japan's central authorities.
UK, CA, NZ inflation at the helm: The Week Ahead
With traders keen to see who will be the first among the BOE, BOC or RBNZ to cut rates, their attention will be surely on next week's inflation reports for their respective regions.
GBP/USD Analysis: Hot US CPI Drives Cable Back Below 1.2600 – Where Next?
The biggest economic data release of this week, and arguably the whole month – US CPI – didn’t disappoint in terms of its market impact.
USD/JPY, AUD/USD: Bonds just delivered a message to traders about the US inflation report
Bond markets make the financial markets go round, so when they provide a strong signal on how Wednesday’s US consumer price inflation report may be interpreted, every trader should sit up and take notice.
Bad news for long bond bulls following bearish break
Long bond bulls will not like the message coming from the recent price action in the TLT ETF, warning of the potential for higher yields and increased capital losses. With little technical support below where it currently sits, it places even more importance on the Fed chooses to signal this week.
US CPI Preview: GBP/USD Pulls Back to 1.2800 – Has US Inflation Bottomed?
GBP/USD remains in a bullish technical position ahead of the US CPI report - see what we're watching!
Interest Rate Shock: What Happens If the Fed Hikes Instead of Cuts?
Traders are pricing in a small, but non-zero, chance of a Fed rate hike in 2024. Those odds could grow with a couple more hotter-than-expected inflation reports.
Gold Weekly Forecast: XAU/USD Nears February Highs, Inflation in Focus
Gold is carrying short-term bullish momentum into the coming week, with potential for a move up toward the 2024 highs in the $2060 area.
U.S. Dollar Post-CPI: EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/JPY, XAU/USD (Gold)
The U.S. Dollar broke out and set another fresh 2024 high this morning as the currency continues to claw back Q4 losses.
US CPI Preview: USD/JPY Tests 2024 Highs, Tame Inflation Expected
US CPI may be quiet this month, but the recent surge in the “Prices” component of the ISM PMI surveys hints that inflation could reaccelerate this Spring.
AUD/USD weekly outlook: US inflation, AU jobs figures to drive AUD
AUD/USD traders will keep a close eye on US inflation data to decipher Fed policy, Australia's employment report to see if another month of strong job losses ensues.
Can US inflation data make or break the US dollar? The Week Ahead
Whist the daily charts still appear favourable for another leg higher on the US dollar, the weekly charts and market positioning suggest some dark clouds may lurking above. And incoming CPI or inflation expectations data could make or break the dollar, if they lean enough in either direction.
Gold Forecast: Commodity Deflation and Wall Street’s Short Positions
Read on to see how inflation and Fed policy could impact the price of commodities like gold this year!
Growing risk RBA may cut rates before the Federal Reserve
There’s a growing risk the RBA may end up cutting interest rates sooner than US Federal Reserve with a slowdown in underlying inflationary pressures in the December quarter seeing markets shift forward expectation for a 25 basis point rate cut to early May.
Gold Forecast: Why “Inflation Hedge” Gold is Falling, Despite Hot US CPI
The dollar’s strength and opportunity cost of holding gold are outweighing its inflation hedge credentials