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Crude Oil Forecast: Oil Dives Deeper into its Consolidation
Crude Oil Forecast: Beyond the positive oil outlook of the summer season, GDP figures and clean energy transitions are weighing on oil prices.
Crude Oil Forecast: Key Levels for the Week Ahead
Crude Oil Forecast: Oil is dropping further into its consolidation, following the steep drops of the commodities market
S&P500 Forecast: SPX falls further from its record high, Netflix gains
U.S. stocks point to a mixed open at the end of a choppy week for the markets. The sell-off in tech stocks and mega-cap growth stocks appears to have steadied after a week, which has seen investors rotate away from the sector. Netflix is set to open higher after beating Q2 earnings and revenue forecasts and impressive subscriber numbers. Q3 guidance disappointed.
Nasdaq 100 Forecast: QQQ rises as chip stocks & mega caps recover
U.S. stocks are pointing to a broadly positive start following upbeat forecasts from Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing, which helped lift chip stocks and mega caps following a sharp sell-off yesterday. Rotation out of tech, concerns over curbs on chips to China, and jitters ahead of earnings hit tech on Wednesday. Today, US jobless claims were higher than forecast, pointing to some softness in the jobs market. Netflix reports after the close.
Crude Oil Forecast: Inventories drop, Geo tensions Rise, and USOIL Bounces
Crude Oil Forecast: Following bearish sentiment driven by weaker-than-expected Chinese economic growth, a drop in the US Dollar, the Houthi attack on an oil tanker in the Red Sea, and a decline in crude inventories, oil prices have rebounded above the $82 mark.
WTI crude bulls regain their footing, gold trips over its ATH
A combination of factors drew WTI crude oil bulls from the side line on Wednesday, which brings $85 back into focus. Gold didn’t have such luck despite hitting a record high the day prior.
S&P500 Forecast: SPX rises as banks kick off Q2 earnings season
U.S. stocks point to a modestly stronger start as investors digest hotter-than-expected producer price inflation and the start of earnings season. JP Morgan & Citigroup impressed, while Wells Fargo Group posted disappointing net interest income. PPI was hotter than expected, serving as a reminder of how fragile the inflation outlook is.
Nasdaq100 Forecast: QQQ rises as cooling inflation lifts Fed rate cut expectations
U.S. stocks are pointing to a higher start after US inflation data showed consumer prices cooled further in June, easing to 3% YoY from 3.3%. Core inflation also eased by more than expected to 3.3%. The market has ramped up rate cut expectations and is pricing in an 87% chance of a September rate cut. The Nasdaq100 and S&P500 rose to record highs.
GBP/USD, Oil Forecast: Two trades to watch
GBP/USD looks to Fed Powell & BoE speakers. Oil falls after China data & ahead of OPEC's monthly oil report.
S&P 500 Forecast: SPX edges higher ahead of Powell & CPI data later this week
US stocks are pointing to a modestly positive start after strong gains last week; the Nasdaq 100 and S&P500 hover around record highs, boosted by optimism that the Federal Reserve could start to cut interest rates as soon as September. The economic calendar is quiet today, but Federal Reserve Chair Powell testifies before the Senate Banking Committee this week. US CPI data will also be in focus.
JPY, EUR, CAD, AUD, Crude Oil Analysis: COT report
Large speculators flipped to net-short exposure to EUR/USD ahead of the French election. Open interest on CAD futures fell at its fastest pace in nearly one year as the sentiment extreme we warned of plays out. Net-long exposure to AUD/USD futures fell to a 3-year low, and prospects of net-long exposure are now on the horizon with the potential for an RBA hike.
Crude Oil Outlook: Monthly Close Ahead of FOMC Minutes Week
Crude Oil Outlook: Crude oil breaks above its 7-day consolidation, and key 82 level ahead of monthly close.
Crude Oil Forecast: Inventory Increase vs PCE Data
Crude Oil Forecast: latest inventory data surged up and oil prices are still ranging near 2-month highs
Crude Oil Forecast: Analysis Update
Crude Oil Forecast: oil’s uptrend is facing challenges between resistance levels and inventory changes. What’s next for today’s inventory release?
EUR/USD, Oil Forecast: Two trades to watch
EUR/USD struggles with French elections and US data in focus. Oil steadies ahead of API stockpile data.
S&P 500 Forecast: SPX muted ahead of Friday's inflation data
U.S. stocks point to a mixed open, with the S&P 500 and the Dow edging higher, while the NASDAQ points to a weaker start ahead of key inflation data on Friday. The market is pricing in two rare cuts this year while the Fed projects one. Nvidia is set to open lower, extending its selloff from Friday. The stock briefly overtook Microsoft as the world's most valuable company. The US economic calendar is quiet today.
Nasdaq100 Forecast: QQQ rises ahead of PMI data
U.S. stocks are heading for a quiet open as Nvidia loses ground, and investors look cautiously ahead to PMI data. Nvidia is falling after reaching another ATH this week, pushing the S&P500 and Nasdaq to ATHs. US economic data has shown signs of softening, and the PMI data today is expected to continue this theme.
S&P500 Forecast: SPX rises lifted by Nvidia & weaker jobless claims
U.S. stocks are set for a stronger open as traders return from the Juneteenth public holiday, digest softer-than-expected US jobless claims, and Nvidia extends its impressive rally. Jobless claims were virtually unchanged from last week's 9-month high, which combined with weaker retail sales earlier in the week, point to a softening in the economy, which could see the Fed cut rates sooner.
GBP/USD, Oil Forecast: Two trades to watch
GBP/USD rises as inflation finally reaches the BoE's 2% target.Oil steadies amid geopolitical concerns and a build in crude stockpiles.
S&P500 Forecast :SPX unchanged after weaker retail sales ,Fed speakers are in focus
US stocks are set for a quiet start after US retail sales were weaker than expected and with Federal Reserve speakers in focus. Retail sales show that consumption is moderating as inflation and interest rates remain high and unemployment rises. Looking ahead, Fed speakers are in focus after recent officials have supported the view that one rate cut this year is appropriate.
S&P500 Forecast: SPX muted ahead of Fed speakers & retail sales later in the week
U.S. stocks are heading for a muted start as the dust settles on last week's inflation data and Federal Reserve interest rate decision. There is no high-impacting data today, so attention will be on tomorrow's retail sales data and Fed speakers for more clues about when the Fed could start cutting rates. Last week, the Fed pointed to one rate cut this year. However, the market is still pricing in two rate cuts.
EUR/USD, Oil Forecast: Two trades to watch
EUR/USD steadies with political uncertainty still at the forefront, Oil falls after weak US consumer sentiment & China data.
USD, EUR/USD, USD/CAD, Crude Oil, Dow Jones Analysis: COT report
Bears were busy last week as they piled into shorts against EUR/USD and the Dow Jones, and also reached a record level of net-short exposure to the Canadian dollar. And this was beneficial for USD bulls.